TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434257
Played Aug 15Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012711––––
Libor Stacho
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeLibor Stacho to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Libor Stacho below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Libor Stacho at 57.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 0–3 Libor Stacho Filip Jungman has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stacho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Stacho
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1313 vs Stacho 1562
Stacho
Correct
both rated, 249 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 0% vs Stacho 80%
Stacho
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 0% vs Stacho 60%
Stacho
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman -5 · Stacho +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stacho) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stacho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 2.63 / Stacho 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Stacho)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434257
Jungman2.63
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Stacho1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJungman0wins
AwayStacho3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStacho leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jungman1Stacho2n = 3Stacho took 2 of 3
S2Jungman2Stacho1n = 3Jungman took 2 of 3
S3Jungman0Stacho3n = 3Stacho took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricJungmanStachoJ − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.346.7−11.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanStachoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 146 vs 37 / 7054.8%52.9%80 / 146 vs 37 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachoJungman 2.63/Stacho 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Stacho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stacho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 15 · 12:59F. Jungman—111417942L. Stacho—8121911113
LAug 15 · 12:30F. Jungman—10570L. Stacho—1211113
LMay 8 · 15:30F. Jungman—314481L. Stacho—111211113
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
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