TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434182
Played Aug 15Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311411116114––
Libor Stacho
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Stacho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Libor Stacho below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Libor Stacho at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 2–1 Libor Stacho Libor Stacho has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Oborny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1636 vs Stacho 1558
Oborny
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 100% vs Stacho 60%
Oborny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 70% vs Stacho 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +5 · Stacho -1
Oborny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stacho form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.61 / Stacho 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Oborny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434182
Oborny1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 97 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 97
Stacho2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 8 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOborny2wins
AwayStacho1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOborny leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny1Stacho2n = 3Stacho took 2 of 3
S2Oborny1Stacho2n = 3Stacho took 2 of 3
S3Oborny2Stacho1n = 3Oborny took 2 of 3
S4Oborny2Stacho1n = 3Oborny took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricObornyStachoO − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.738.0−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyStachoBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 589 vs 38 / 7251.8%52.8%305 / 589 vs 38 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyOborny 1.61/Stacho 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 15 · 17:30D. Oborny—811611113L. Stacho—11211792
LAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny—341161L. Stacho—11119113
WAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny—13411113L. Stacho—1111641
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
Upcoming Matches
D. Oborny
L. Stacho
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