TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434200
Played Aug 15Finished
Libor Stacho
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116117––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeLibor Stacho to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Stacho above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 2-0
Point 41 set 3, 2-0 — our read held Libor Stacho at 57.8%
41 points drawn · the score is 16 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Libor Stacho 5–3 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stacho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Stacho
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stacho 1558 vs Darin 1418
Stacho
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stacho 60% vs Darin 40%
Stacho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stacho 60% vs Darin 30%
Stacho
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stacho +3 · Darin +1
Stacho
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stacho)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStacho 1.67 / Darin 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Stacho)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434200
Stacho1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Darin2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 211 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back25% 65 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back10% 15 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeStacho5wins
AwayDarin3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderStacho leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStacho100%4 of 4
AwayDarin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stacho4Darin4n = 8split evenly
S2Stacho6Darin2n = 8Stacho took 6 of 8
S3Stacho5Darin3n = 8Stacho took 5 of 8
S4Stacho1Darin5n = 6Darin took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricStachoDarinS − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.434.6+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachoDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 72 vs 753 / 152452.8%49.4%38 / 72 vs 753 / 1524Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachoStacho 1.67/Darin 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Stacho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stacho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho—711151K. Darin—11119113
WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho—1181210113K. Darin—311101282
WJul 16 · 12:00L. Stacho—1111113K. Darin—6950
LJun 11 · 12:30L. Stacho—6128111K. Darin—111011133
WMay 8 · 16:30L. Stacho—111177113K. Darin—94111142
WMay 8 · 11:30L. Stacho—1111113K. Darin—5950
LApr 18 · 17:00L. Stacho—711651K. Darin—11211113
WApr 18 · 14:30L. Stacho—111111113K. Darin—134881
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113WJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113LJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282
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