TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12440364
Played Aug 15Finished
Libor Stacho
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118211116711911
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Stacho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLibor Stacho above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Libor Stacho at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Libor Stacho 1–1 Dominik Oborny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stacho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stacho 1568 vs Oborny 1627
Oborny
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stacho 100% vs Oborny 80%
Stacho
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stacho 70% vs Oborny 90%
Oborny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stacho +5 · Oborny +2
Stacho
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stacho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStacho 1.80 / Oborny 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stacho)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12440364
Stacho1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Oborny1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStacho1wins
AwayOborny1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStachoObornyS − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.031.5+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachoObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 71 vs 304 / 58853.5%51.7%38 / 71 vs 304 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachoStacho 1.80/Oborny 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stacho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 14:30L. Stacho—11119113D. Oborny—341161
LAug 15 · 10:00L. Stacho—1111641D. Oborny—13411113
L. Stacho10
WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790LAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641
Upcoming Matches
L. Stacho
Nothing scheduled
D. Oborny
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