TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12244436
Played Jul 16Finished
Libor Stacho
Home
2.21
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711111119511––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLibor Stacho above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Libor Stacho 4–2 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStacho 2.21 / Darin 1.54
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Darin)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12244436
Stacho2.21
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Darin1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 140 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it95% 72 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 99 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStacho4wins
AwayDarin2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderStacho leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStacho100%3 of 3
AwayDarin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stacho3Darin3n = 6split evenly
S2Stacho6Darin0n = 6Stacho took 6 of 6
S3Stacho3Darin3n = 6split evenly
S4Stacho1Darin3n = 4Darin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricStachoDarinS − DBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.231.8+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachoDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 63 vs 750 / 152152.4%49.3%33 / 63 vs 750 / 1521Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinStacho 2.21/Darin 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 16 · 12:00L. Stacho—1111113K. Darin—6950
LJun 11 · 12:30L. Stacho—6128111K. Darin—111011133
WMay 8 · 16:30L. Stacho—111177113K. Darin—94111142
WMay 8 · 11:30L. Stacho—1111113K. Darin—5950
LApr 18 · 17:00L. Stacho—711651K. Darin—11211113
WApr 18 · 14:30L. Stacho—111111113K. Darin—134881
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670LJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282
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