TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438496
Played Aug 15Finished
Mihail Trinta
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119611118119
Frantisek Briza
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMihail Trinta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMihail Trinta above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mihail Trinta at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Mihail Trinta 42–43 Frantisek Briza Mihail Trinta has won 42 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Trinta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-43 in 85
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trinta 1396 vs Briza 1387
Trinta
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trinta 0% vs Briza 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trinta 30% vs Briza 10%
Trinta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trinta -5 · Briza -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trinta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrinta 1.80 / Briza 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trinta)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12438496
Trinta1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 111 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Briza1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog37% won 87 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrinta6wins
AwayBriza4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTrinta leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrinta62.5%5 of 8
AwayBrizan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trinta8Briza2n = 10Trinta took 8 of 10
S2Trinta8Briza2n = 10Trinta took 8 of 10
S3Trinta3Briza7n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S4Trinta3Briza6n = 9Briza took 6 of 9
S5Trinta2Briza2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrintaBrizaT − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.8+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrintaBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 1023 vs 385 / 84449.9%45.6%510 / 1023 vs 385 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrintaTrinta 1.80/Briza 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trinta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Trinta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 15:30M. Trinta—51111113F. Briza—119841
LAug 6 · 16:30M. Trinta—111141062F. Briza—891112113
LAug 4 · 18:30M. Trinta—101111572F. Briza—124411113
WAug 4 · 17:00M. Trinta—111189113F. Briza—36111122
LAug 4 · 14:00M. Trinta—116651F. Briza—31111113
WJul 31 · 16:30M. Trinta—111110113F. Briza—871271
WJul 28 · 21:28M. Trinta—111164113F. Briza—68111142
LJul 28 · 18:00M. Trinta—1177101F. Briza—81111123
WJul 27 · 16:00M. Trinta—1111113F. Briza—8770
WJul 22 · 19:30M. Trinta—11117113F. Briza—971191
M. Trinta10
WAug 16 · 12:59M. Trinta1.911111103F. Jungman1.809980LAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113LAug 16 · 11:00M. Trinta2.00913961D. Oborny1.73111111113WAug 16 · 10:00F. Jungman1.44511118112M. Trinta2.63119611133LAug 15 · 21:30A. Svoboda1.4411711123M. Trinta2.639112101WAug 15 · 20:30M. Trinta2.509101113113D. Horak1.50111261182LAug 15 · 18:00A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Trinta2.387460LAug 14 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3311115113M. Trinta3.05461171LAug 14 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0012511652T. Kolenic1.731011711113LAug 14 · 11:00M. Trinta2.10961131A. Svoboda1.6711119113
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.