TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434058
Played Aug 14Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114116511117––
Mihail Trinta
Away
3.05
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Mihail Trinta below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 66 set 4, 11-7
66 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 6–4 Mihail Trinta Mihail Trinta has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trinta form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.33 / Trinta 3.05
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Svoboda)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12434058
Svoboda1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Trinta3.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda6wins
AwayTrinta4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda80%4 of 5
AwayTrinta60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda5Trinta5n = 10split evenly
S2Svoboda8Trinta2n = 10Svoboda took 8 of 10
S3Svoboda5Trinta5n = 10split evenly
S4Svoboda5Trinta3n = 8Svoboda took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaTrintaS − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.1+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaTrintaBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 195 vs 510 / 102251.3%49.9%100 / 195 vs 510 / 1022Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.33/Trinta 3.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 11:00A. Svoboda—11119113M. Trinta—961131
WJul 26 · 03:00A. Svoboda—81212113M. Trinta—11101011
LJul 26 · 24:00A. Svoboda—861191M. Trinta—11115113
LJul 18 · 02:00A. Svoboda—711971M. Trinta—11811113
WJul 17 · 21:30A. Svoboda—1111113M. Trinta—9870
WJul 17 · 18:00A. Svoboda—91111163M. Trinta—1149141
WJan 3 · 03:30A. Svoboda—1211113M. Trinta—10930
LDec 20 · 03:00A. Svoboda—119571M. Trinta—51111113
LDec 6 · 03:58A. Svoboda—91191192M. Trinta—116118113
WDec 6 · 03:30A. Svoboda—11119123M. Trinta—6511101
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862
M. Trinta10
WAug 16 · 12:59M. Trinta1.911111103F. Jungman1.809980LAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113LAug 16 · 11:00M. Trinta2.00913961D. Oborny1.73111111113WAug 16 · 10:00F. Jungman1.44511118112M. Trinta2.63119611133LAug 15 · 21:30A. Svoboda1.4411711123M. Trinta2.639112101WAug 15 · 20:30M. Trinta2.509101113113D. Horak1.50111261182WAug 15 · 19:00M. Trinta1.80911611113F. Briza1.9111911892LAug 15 · 18:00A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Trinta2.387460LAug 14 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0012511652T. Kolenic1.731011711113LAug 14 · 11:00M. Trinta2.10961131A. Svoboda1.6711119113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.