TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438530
Played Aug 16Finished
Mihail Trinta
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311911611––
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMihail Trinta above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 77.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Mihail Trinta 2–0 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Oborny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trinta 1412 vs Oborny 1644
Oborny
Correct
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trinta 60% vs Oborny 80%
Oborny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trinta 30% vs Oborny 90%
Oborny
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trinta +1 · Oborny +4
Oborny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrinta 2.00 / Oborny 1.73
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Oborny)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12438530
Trinta2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 82 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Oborny1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 102 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it84% 85 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTrinta2wins
AwayOborny0wins
Trinta leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTrintaObornyT − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.032.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrintaObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 1023 vs 306 / 59050%51.9%511 / 1023 vs 306 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyTrinta 2.00/Oborny 1.73
Hit
What we said
60.7%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 12 · 15:00M. Trinta—12712113D. Oborny—10111081
WAug 11 · 07:00M. Trinta—11117113D. Oborny—661131
M. Trinta10
WAug 16 · 12:59M. Trinta1.911111103F. Jungman1.809980LAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113WAug 16 · 10:00F. Jungman1.44511118112M. Trinta2.63119611133LAug 15 · 21:30A. Svoboda1.4411711123M. Trinta2.639112101WAug 15 · 20:30M. Trinta2.509101113113D. Horak1.50111261182WAug 15 · 19:00M. Trinta1.80911611113F. Briza1.9111911892LAug 15 · 18:00A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Trinta2.387460LAug 14 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3311115113M. Trinta3.05461171LAug 14 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0012511652T. Kolenic1.731011711113LAug 14 · 11:00M. Trinta2.10961131A. Svoboda1.6711119113
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133LAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.