TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12425130
Played Aug 14Finished
Mihail Trinta
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210511117611511
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMihail Trinta above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 56.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Mihail Trinta 25–51 Tibor Kolenic Mihail Trinta has won 25 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:41What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolenic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-51 in 76
Kolenic
Correct
gap of 26 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trinta 1446 vs Kolenic 1507
Kolenic
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trinta 20% vs Kolenic 80%
Kolenic
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trinta 40% vs Kolenic 60%
Kolenic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trinta -4 · Kolenic -1
Trinta
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrinta 2.00 / Kolenic 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kolenic)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12425130
Trinta2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 53
Kolenic1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 55 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrinta5wins
AwayKolenic5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrintan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolenic62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trinta2Kolenic8n = 10Kolenic took 8 of 10
S2Trinta6Kolenic4n = 10Trinta took 6 of 10
S3Trinta5Kolenic5n = 10split evenly
S4Trinta6Kolenic3n = 9Trinta took 6 of 9
S5Trinta2Kolenic2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrintaKolenicT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.9−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrintaKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 1022 vs 271 / 57749.9%47%510 / 1022 vs 271 / 577Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicTrinta 2.00/Kolenic 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.7%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 16:30M. Trinta—612871T. Kolenic—111011113
WAug 7 · 14:00M. Trinta—71114113T. Kolenic—1141251
LAug 6 · 15:00M. Trinta—5111191T. Kolenic—11613113
LAug 4 · 16:30M. Trinta—61191172T. Kolenic—116116113
LAug 2 · 19:30M. Trinta—8890T. Kolenic—1111113
WAug 1 · 12:58M. Trinta—11611113T. Kolenic—911291
LAug 1 · 12:30M. Trinta—79111172T. Kolenic—111159113
WJul 31 · 06:30M. Trinta—511129113T. Kolenic—114101182
WJul 27 · 10:00M. Trinta—114611123T. Kolenic—811119102
WJul 24 · 21:30M. Trinta—71111113T. Kolenic—119681
M. Trinta10
WAug 16 · 12:59M. Trinta1.911111103F. Jungman1.809980LAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113LAug 16 · 11:00M. Trinta2.00913961D. Oborny1.73111111113WAug 16 · 10:00F. Jungman1.44511118112M. Trinta2.63119611133LAug 15 · 21:30A. Svoboda1.4411711123M. Trinta2.639112101WAug 15 · 20:30M. Trinta2.509101113113D. Horak1.50111261182WAug 15 · 19:00M. Trinta1.80911611113F. Briza1.9111911892LAug 15 · 18:00A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Trinta2.387460LAug 14 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3311115113M. Trinta3.05461171LAug 14 · 11:00M. Trinta2.10961131A. Svoboda1.6711119113
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113
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