TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438630
Played Aug 16Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111191168111113
Mihail Trinta
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMihail Trinta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Mihail Trinta below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Mihail Trinta at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 1–0 Mihail Trinta Mihail Trinta has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jungman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1313 vs Trinta 1404
Trinta
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 20% vs Trinta 40%
Trinta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 10% vs Trinta 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +1 · Trinta -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jungman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.44 / Trinta 2.63
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jungman)-10.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12438630
Jungman1.44
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Trinta2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 82 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJungman1wins
AwayTrinta0wins
Jungman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJungmanTrintaJ − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.025.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanTrintaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 148 vs 510 / 102254.7%49.9%81 / 148 vs 510 / 1022Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanJungman 1.44/Trinta 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Trinta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 15 · 16:00F. Jungman—1511113M. Trinta—13660
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113
M. Trinta10
WAug 16 · 12:59M. Trinta1.911111103F. Jungman1.809980LAug 16 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0051111762T. Kolenic1.73119911113LAug 16 · 11:00M. Trinta2.00913961D. Oborny1.73111111113LAug 15 · 21:30A. Svoboda1.4411711123M. Trinta2.639112101WAug 15 · 20:30M. Trinta2.509101113113D. Horak1.50111261182WAug 15 · 19:00M. Trinta1.80911611113F. Briza1.9111911892LAug 15 · 18:00A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Trinta2.387460LAug 14 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3311115113M. Trinta3.05461171LAug 14 · 12:30M. Trinta2.0012511652T. Kolenic1.731011711113LAug 14 · 11:00M. Trinta2.10961131A. Svoboda1.6711119113
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