TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Aug 8Finished
Pavel Rissky
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121189111311––
Ondrej Varecka
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:50 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Varecka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Rissky above · Ondrej Varecka below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 89 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Ondrej Varecka at 57.0%
89 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Varecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rissky 1530 vs Varecka 1533
Varecka
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rissky 80% vs Varecka 0%
Rissky
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rissky 40% vs Varecka 10%
Rissky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rissky -1 · Varecka -5
Varecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varecka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRissky 2.25 / Varecka 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Varecka)-4.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12380099
Rissky2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 14 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Varecka1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 90 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 65 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRisskyVareckaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 199 vs 120 / 21042.2%57.1%84 / 199 vs 120 / 210Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VareckaRissky 2.25/Varecka 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Varecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rissky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Rissky10
WSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:50P. Rissky1.83311891M. Sulc1.8311911113WAug 8 · 18:40P. Rissky2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73951161WAug 8 · 16:55M. Sulc1.80611661P. Rissky1.9111411113LAug 8 · 16:25A. Rek1.8311711143P. Rissky1.836118121WAug 8 · 15:25P. Rissky2.101111113O. Fiklik1.679980LAug 8 · 14:50A. Langer2.25111312113P. Rissky1.574151091WAug 8 · 12:55P. Rissky2.25912911113O. Fiklik1.57111011782LAug 8 · 10:55P. Rissky1.50721191A. Langer2.5011119113WJul 26 · 10:38P. Rissky1.671112113M. Sochor2.1081060
O. Varecka10
LAug 14 · 10:03O. Fiklik1.801012311143O. Varecka1.911210119122LAug 14 · 08:55A. Langer2.381212113O. Varecka1.53101060LAug 14 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.911111123O. Varecka1.8076100LAug 14 · 07:25O. Varecka1.839980V. Jr1.831111113WAug 13 · 14:35M. Sulc1.44117851O. Varecka2.6391111113WAug 13 · 12:55D. Sochor1.8094110O. Varecka1.911111133WAug 13 · 12:25A. Langer1.53911381O. Varecka2.3811711113LAug 13 · 11:25O. Varecka2.006270M. Sulc1.731111113LAug 12 · 22:30O. Varecka1.601011641D. Sykora2.2012311113WAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Rissky
O. Varecka
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