TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Aug 8Finished
Pavel Rissky
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119118––––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Rissky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Rissky above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Pavel Rissky at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Rissky 10–17 Ondrej Fiklik Pavel Rissky has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:09What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rissky 1590 vs Fiklik 1524
Rissky
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rissky 60% vs Fiklik 20%
Rissky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rissky 60% vs Fiklik 20%
Rissky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rissky -1 · Fiklik -3
Fiklik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rissky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRissky 2.10 / Fiklik 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rissky)+9.8pp
TT Cup · #12382086
Rissky2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 14 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Fiklik1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 103 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRissky3wins
AwayFiklik7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRissky40%2 of 5
AwayFiklik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rissky5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S2Rissky4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S3Rissky5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S4Rissky4Fiklik4n = 8split evenly
S5Rissky1Fiklik4n = 5Fiklik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRisskyFiklikR − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.7−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRisskyFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 206 vs 555 / 120543.2%46.1%89 / 206 vs 555 / 1205Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RisskyRissky 2.10/Fiklik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rissky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rissky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 15:25P. Rissky331111113O. Fiklik269980
WAug 8 · 12:55P. Rissky52912911113O. Fiklik47111011782
LJul 19 · 16:25P. Rissky48121171172O. Fiklik541013119113
LJul 11 · 14:10P. Rissky259880O. Fiklik331111113
WJul 11 · 13:25P. Rissky4814811153O. Fiklik4512119131
LJun 6 · 08:55P. Rissky331051171O. Fiklik4012116113
LApr 5 · 07:50P. Rissky33114991O. Fiklik3411111113
LDec 29 · 07:55P. Rissky4912811992O. Fiklik481011511113
LDec 19 · 08:55P. Rissky4691191162O. Fiklik47118116113
LNov 21 · 13:25P. Rissky4151311482O. Fiklik531111911113
P. Rissky10
WSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:50P. Rissky1.83311891M. Sulc1.8311911113WAug 8 · 18:40P. Rissky2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73951161WAug 8 · 16:55M. Sulc1.80611661P. Rissky1.9111411113LAug 8 · 16:25A. Rek1.8311711143P. Rissky1.836118121LAug 8 · 14:50A. Langer2.25111312113P. Rissky1.574151091WAug 8 · 12:55P. Rissky2.25912911113O. Fiklik1.57111011782WAug 8 · 11:55P. Rissky2.2514119133O. Varecka1.5712811111LAug 8 · 10:55P. Rissky1.50721191A. Langer2.5011119113WJul 26 · 10:38P. Rissky1.671112113M. Sochor2.1081060
O. Fiklik10
LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162LSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek2.10111115133O. Fiklik1.673917111WSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182WSep 18 · 07:55V. Jr2.2011129932O. Fiklik1.617101111113LSep 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek1.911110711213O. Fiklik1.80612117192LSep 17 · 10:38O. Fiklik2.2510960A. Rek1.571211113WSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123LAug 8 · 18:40P. Rissky2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73951161LAug 8 · 12:55P. Rissky2.25912911113O. Fiklik1.57111011782
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