TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moroz vs Ruslan Skoropad 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 5Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119711119116
Ruslan Skoropad
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Skoropad to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Ruslan Skoropad below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ruslan Skoropad at 83.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 2–2 Ruslan Skoropad Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Skoropad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moroz 567 vs Skoropad 789
Skoropad
Wrong
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 40% vs Skoropad 0%
Moroz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 30% vs Skoropad 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -1 · Skoropad -5
Skoropad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Skoropad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skoropad form (0%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 5.50 / Skoropad 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Skoropad)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362840
Moroz5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Skoropad1.13
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMoroz2wins
AwaySkoropad2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moroz2Skoropad2n = 4split evenly
S2Moroz2Skoropad2n = 4split evenly
S3Moroz1Skoropad3n = 4Skoropad took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricMorozSkoropadM − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match26.831.2−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozSkoropadBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 84 vs 52 / 10033.3%52%28 / 84 vs 52 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkoropadMoroz 5.50/Skoropad 1.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83%
Skoropad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LApr 4 · 07:55V. Moroz2241080R. Skoropad341112113
WMar 7 · 15:25V. Moroz341211113R. Skoropad2310760
LNov 21 · 07:25V. Moroz155280R. Skoropad331111113
WNov 20 · 17:55V. Moroz3611113113R. Skoropad35891171
V. Moroz10
LSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880LSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113LSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113WSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341
R. Skoropad10
LSep 22 · 06:55R. Skoropad2.504740O. Martynenko1.501111113LSep 22 · 04:55R. Skoropad3.259040B. Pyrtyk1.331111113WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113LAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.441111113R. Skoropad2.634340WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123LAug 12 · 16:55R. Skoropad1.7311511432O. Bolnyh2.00911511113WAug 12 · 15:55R. Skoropad1.3011119113A. Lanchut3.40471111
Upcoming Matches
V. Moroz
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R. Skoropad
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