TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12352046
Played Aug 2Finished
Jakub Plachta
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114311117115––
Matej Szwarc
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Plachta above · Matej Szwarc below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 63 set 4, 11-5
63 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Plachta 1–0 Matej Szwarc Matej Szwarc has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szwarc form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachta 1.80 / Szwarc 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachta)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12352046
Plachta1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Szwarc1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 7 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePlachta1wins
AwaySzwarc0wins
Plachta leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPlachtaSzwarcP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.029.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachtaSzwarcBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 150 vs 15 / 4349.3%34.9%74 / 150 vs 15 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachtaPlachta 1.80/Szwarc 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plachta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta—1211133M. Szwarc—108110
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LAug 2 · 14:00J. Plachta1.67651191M. Kratochvil2.1011117113LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta1.5761111113J. Pilch2.25115881LJul 20 · 15:00J. Plachta1.918111013102L. Prikasky1.801161211123WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 17:00M. Vavrecka2.20133913113J. Plachta1.611111111182LJul 19 · 16:30M. Cabis1.801213113J. Plachta1.91101180LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591LAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110
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