TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12347012
Played Aug 2Finished
Jakub Plachta
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611511117911––
Michal Kratochvil
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Kratochvil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Plachta above · Michal Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Kratochvil at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Plachta 4–2 Michal Kratochvil Michal Kratochvil has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plachta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Plachta
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachta 1715 vs Kratochvil 1706
Plachta
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachta 40% vs Kratochvil 60%
Kratochvil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachta 30% vs Kratochvil 60%
Kratochvil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachta -1 · Kratochvil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Plachta) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachta 1.67 / Kratochvil 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Plachta)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12347012
Plachta1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Kratochvil2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 71 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePlachta4wins
AwayKratochvil2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderPlachta leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachta66.7%4 of 6
AwayKratochviln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachta6Kratochvil0n = 6Plachta took 6 of 6
S2Plachta2Kratochvil4n = 6Kratochvil took 4 of 6
S3Plachta3Kratochvil3n = 6split evenly
S4Plachta3Kratochvil2n = 5Plachta took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPlachtaKratochvilP − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match40.238.0+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachtaKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 147 vs 246 / 49749.7%49.5%73 / 147 vs 246 / 497Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachtaPlachta 1.67/Kratochvil 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Plachta · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 23 · 14:00J. Plachta—11911113M. Kratochvil—711891
WSep 28 · 15:00J. Plachta—118168123M. Kratochvil—8111411102
WSep 15 · 18:00J. Plachta—11115113M. Kratochvil—871181
LAug 26 · 16:30J. Plachta—117871M. Kratochvil—41111113
WAug 23 · 12:00J. Plachta—1112113M. Kratochvil—61060
LJul 20 · 11:30J. Plachta—11861132M. Kratochvil—611117113
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta1.5761111113J. Pilch2.25115881LJul 20 · 15:00J. Plachta1.918111013102L. Prikasky1.801161211123WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 17:00M. Vavrecka2.20133913113J. Plachta1.611111111182LJul 19 · 16:30M. Cabis1.801213113J. Plachta1.91101180LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662
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