TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12265850
Played Jul 20Finished
Jakub Plachta
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611115118118––
Jakub Pilch
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Plachta to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Plachta above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Plachta at 62.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Plachta 7–1 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Plachta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Plachta
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachta 1729 vs Pilch 1732
Pilch
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachta 20% vs Pilch 60%
Pilch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachta 30% vs Pilch 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachta -1 · Pilch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Plachta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachta 1.57 / Pilch 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Plachta)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12265850
Plachta1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 19 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Pilch2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePlachta7wins
AwayPilch1wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPlachta leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachta100%4 of 4
AwayPilch25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachta4Pilch4n = 8split evenly
S2Plachta6Pilch2n = 8Plachta took 6 of 8
S3Plachta6Pilch2n = 8Plachta took 6 of 8
S4Plachta3Pilch2n = 5Plachta took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPlachtaPilchPlachta − PilchBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.232.9+5.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachtaPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 146 vs 225 / 45450%49.6%73 / 146 vs 225 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachtaPlachta 1.57/Pilch 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Plachta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plachta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta—61111113J. Pilch—115881
LJul 14 · 13:28J. Plachta—7980J. Pilch—1111113
WJul 14 · 11:00J. Plachta—11811113J. Pilch—911771
WNov 17 · 11:00J. Plachta—1111113J. Pilch—9470
WJul 29 · 17:30J. Plachta—1111128113J. Pilch—66141172
WJul 29 · 16:00J. Plachta—21111113J. Pilch—117991
WJul 27 · 07:00J. Plachta—1211113J. Pilch—10280
WJul 14 · 10:00J. Plachta—711117113J. Pilch—11781172
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LAug 2 · 14:00J. Plachta1.67651191M. Kratochvil2.1011117113LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041LJul 20 · 15:00J. Plachta1.918111013102L. Prikasky1.801161211123WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 17:00M. Vavrecka2.20133913113J. Plachta1.611111111182LJul 19 · 16:30M. Cabis1.801213113J. Plachta1.91101180LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
J. Pilch10
LSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880
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