TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12266319
Played Jul 19Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13113119111311118
Jakub Plachta
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Jakub Plachta below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8
101 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 3–3 Jakub Plachta Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachta form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.20 / Plachta 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plachta)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12266319
Vavrecka2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 183 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back26% 59 of 225
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 112
Plachta1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 19 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVavrecka3wins
AwayPlachta3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavreckan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPlachta50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka2Plachta4n = 6Plachta took 4 of 6
S2Vavrecka4Plachta2n = 6Vavrecka took 4 of 6
S3Vavrecka2Plachta4n = 6Plachta took 4 of 6
S4Vavrecka2Plachta3n = 5Plachta took 3 of 5
S5Vavrecka2Plachta1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVavreckaPlachtaV − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.840.0−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaPlachtaBasisWin rate · lifetime1051 / 2048 vs 71 / 14251.3%50%1051 / 2048 vs 71 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachtaVavrecka 2.20/Plachta 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plachta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 19 · 14:30M. Vavrecka—121211113J. Plachta—1410521
LJun 27 · 09:30M. Vavrecka—41150J. Plachta—1113113
LJun 27 · 07:30M. Vavrecka—511871J. Plachta—11611113
WMay 25 · 10:30M. Vavrecka—1111912113J. Plachta—87111452
LMay 25 · 09:30M. Vavrecka—11391192J. Plachta—911117113
WMay 25 · 07:00M. Vavrecka—811114113J. Plachta—11391172
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142WSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WAug 31 · 09:00M. Vavrecka1.8317911113T. Dousek1.831511741LAug 31 · 08:30M. Vavrecka2.001251181R. Polasek1.7314117113
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LAug 2 · 14:00J. Plachta1.67651191M. Kratochvil2.1011117113LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta1.5761111113J. Pilch2.25115881LJul 20 · 15:00J. Plachta1.918111013102L. Prikasky1.801161211123WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 16:30M. Cabis1.801213113J. Plachta1.91101180LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vavrecka
J. Plachta
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