TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12345515
Played Aug 2Finished
Jakub Plachta
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101181311––––
Matej Szwarc
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Szwarc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Plachta above · Matej Szwarc below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 65 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Matej Szwarc at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Plachta 1–0 Matej Szwarc Matej Szwarc has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:04What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Szwarc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Plachta 1752 vs Szwarc 1610
Plachta
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachta 20% vs Szwarc 40%
Szwarc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachta 20% vs Szwarc 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachta -3 · Szwarc -2
Plachta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szwarc) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szwarc form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachta 2.10 / Szwarc 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Szwarc)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12345515
Plachta2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Szwarc1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 6 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePlachta1wins
AwaySzwarc0wins
Plachta leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPlachtaSzwarcP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.029.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachtaSzwarcBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 150 vs 15 / 4349.3%34.9%74 / 150 vs 15 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzwarcPlachta 2.10/Szwarc 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Szwarc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta—1211133M. Szwarc—108110
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LAug 2 · 14:00J. Plachta1.67651191M. Kratochvil2.1011117113LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta1.5761111113J. Pilch2.25115881LJul 20 · 15:00J. Plachta1.918111013102L. Prikasky1.801161211123WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 17:00M. Vavrecka2.20133913113J. Plachta1.611111111182LJul 19 · 16:30M. Cabis1.801213113J. Plachta1.91101180LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
M. Szwarc10
WAug 8 · 13:29D. Tomica1.83106111162M. Szwarc1.83121156113WAug 8 · 12:30M. Szwarc1.73118811113M. Grundel2.0071111982LAug 8 · 11:00M. Szwarc1.91113411D. Tomica1.8071111113WAug 8 · 10:00M. Kratochvil1.9110111391M. Szwarc1.8012915113LAug 7 · 08:59M. Szwarc2.25125551O. Paril1.57101111113WAug 7 · 08:00O. Paril1.53119111292M. Szwarc2.381311810113LAug 7 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.911111113M. Szwarc1.804990WAug 7 · 06:30M. Szwarc1.83118116113R. Polasek1.8391171152WAug 5 · 16:58M. Szwarc1.67111111113M. Grundel2.10139591LAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751
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