TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12265698
Played Jul 20Finished
Jakub Plachta
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811116101213111012
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Plachta above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 104 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 56.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Plachta 2–4 Libor Prikasky Jakub Plachta has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Prikasky
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachta 1732 vs Prikasky 1828
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachta 20% vs Prikasky 40%
Prikasky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachta 30% vs Prikasky 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachta +1 · Prikasky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Prikasky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachta 1.91 / Prikasky 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Prikasky)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12265698
Plachta1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 11 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back40% 6 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Prikasky1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 61 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePlachta2wins
AwayPrikasky4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPrikasky leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachtan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPrikasky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachta2Prikasky4n = 6Prikasky took 4 of 6
S2Plachta3Prikasky3n = 6split evenly
S3Plachta0Prikasky6n = 6Prikasky took 6 of 6
S4Plachta2Prikasky2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPlachtaPrikaskyPlachta − PrikaskyBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match33.037.7−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachtaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 144 vs 174 / 29750%58.6%72 / 144 vs 174 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyPlachta 1.91/Prikasky 1.80
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMay 25 · 12:59J. Plachta—711741L. Prikasky—11711113
WMay 25 · 11:00J. Plachta—612611113L. Prikasky—111011682
LMay 24 · 08:00J. Plachta—1010100L. Prikasky—1212123
WMay 20 · 13:30J. Plachta—11115113L. Prikasky—951161
LMay 20 · 10:00J. Plachta—117981L. Prikasky—71111113
LMay 13 · 06:00J. Plachta—5780L. Prikasky—1111113
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LAug 2 · 14:00J. Plachta1.67651191M. Kratochvil2.1011117113LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta1.5761111113J. Pilch2.25115881WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 17:00M. Vavrecka2.20133913113J. Plachta1.611111111182LJul 19 · 16:30M. Cabis1.801213113J. Plachta1.91101180LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252WJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041
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