TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12260911
Played Jul 19Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311118––––
Jakub Plachta
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Jakub Plachta below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 65 set 3, 11-8
65 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 2–1 Jakub Plachta Jakub Plachta has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachta form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 1.80 / Plachta 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plachta)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12260911
Cabis1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 119 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it75% 86 of 115
Plachta1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back46% 6 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCabis2wins
AwayPlachta1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCabis leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabisn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPlachta33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis0Plachta3n = 3Plachta took 3 of 3
S2Cabis1Plachta2n = 3Plachta took 2 of 3
S3Cabis2Plachta1n = 3Cabis took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricCabisPlachtaC − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match39.034.3+4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisPlachtaBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 610 vs 71 / 14151.3%50.4%313 / 610 vs 71 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachtaCabis 1.80/Plachta 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plachta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cabis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 14 · 13:30M. Cabis—8111111113J. Plachta—11132772
WMay 14 · 12:30M. Cabis—81111113J. Plachta—118471
LDec 18 · 13:30M. Cabis—6990J. Plachta—1111113
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113
J. Plachta10
WAug 2 · 16:59J. Plachta1.8011311113M. Szwarc1.91411751WAug 2 · 16:00J. Plachta2.101211133M. Szwarc1.67108110LAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362LAug 2 · 14:00J. Plachta1.67651191M. Kratochvil2.1011117113LJul 20 · 17:28L. Prikasky1.6781112113J. Plachta2.101161041WJul 20 · 16:30J. Plachta1.5761111113J. Pilch2.25115881LJul 20 · 15:00J. Plachta1.918111013102L. Prikasky1.801161211123WJul 20 · 14:00M. Grundel1.839750J. Plachta1.831111113LJul 19 · 17:00M. Vavrecka2.20133913113J. Plachta1.611111111182LJul 19 · 15:30J. Plachta2.25111161162P. Wawrosz1.57139118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.