TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12282623
Played Jul 23Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118411112––
Miroslav Necas
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Miroslav Necas below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 64 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Tomas Regner at 62.8%
64 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 1–0 Miroslav Necas Miroslav Necas has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:11What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1410 vs Necas 1432
Necas
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Necas 80%
Necas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 60% vs Necas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Necas +3
Necas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Necas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.67 / Necas 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Regner)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12282623
Regner1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 90 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 61 of 82
Necas2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 3 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRegner1wins
AwayNecas0wins
Regner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRegnerNecasR − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.027.0+16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerNecasBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 974 vs 18 / 4349.3%41.9%480 / 974 vs 18 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.67/Necas 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 20 · 23:30T. Regner—91111123M. Necas—1151101
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113
M. Necas10
WAug 16 · 02:59M. Necas1.3611111111113M. Novotny3.0068131342LAug 16 · 01:30M. Necas1.73125951V. Dolezal2.00101111113WAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:30R. Urban2.001111113M. Necas1.738760LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113WJul 23 · 21:28M. Necas2.251271111133T. Regner1.571011137112WJul 23 · 19:00M. Barta3.006960M. Necas1.361111113WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas1.22111116113M. Novotny4.006131481WJul 23 · 17:30M. Tacinec2.00125781M. Necas1.73101111113LJul 23 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.6712119113M. Necas2.101071181
Upcoming Matches
T. Regner
M. Necas
Nothing scheduled
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