TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434709
Played Aug 15Finished
Roman Urban
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117116––––
Miroslav Necas
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Necas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Urban above · Miroslav Necas below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Miroslav Necas at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Necas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Urban 1463 vs Necas 1404
Urban
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 20% vs Necas 60%
Necas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Necas 60%
Necas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +1 · Necas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Necas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.00 / Necas 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Necas)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434709
Urban2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 12 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Necas1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 11 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanNecasBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 122 vs 16 / 3852.5%42.1%64 / 122 vs 16 / 38Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NecasUrban 2.00/Necas 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Necas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urban won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Urban10
LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113LAug 29 · 02:00R. Urban1.7311101371J. Didi2.0081215113WAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260LAug 29 · 24:00M. Stefek2.381111113R. Urban1.534890WAug 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek1.91118561R. Urban1.8071111113
M. Necas10
WAug 16 · 02:59M. Necas1.3611111111113M. Novotny3.0068131342LAug 16 · 01:30M. Necas1.73125951V. Dolezal2.00101111113WAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113WJul 23 · 21:28M. Necas2.251271111133T. Regner1.571011137112LJul 23 · 20:00T. Regner1.6711114113M. Necas2.10681121WJul 23 · 19:00M. Barta3.006960M. Necas1.361111113WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas1.22111116113M. Novotny4.006131481WJul 23 · 17:30M. Tacinec2.00125781M. Necas1.73101111113LJul 23 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.6712119113M. Necas2.101071181
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