TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434714
Played Aug 16Finished
Miroslav Necas
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511911511––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Necas above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 57.3%
74 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Necas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Necas 1405 vs Dolezal 1490
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Necas 40% vs Dolezal 80%
Dolezal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Necas 60% vs Dolezal 90%
Dolezal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Necas +1 · Dolezal +3
Dolezal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNecas 1.73 / Dolezal 2.00
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Dolezal)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434714
Necas1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 11 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Dolezal2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNecasDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 40 vs 355 / 71742.5%49.5%17 / 40 vs 355 / 717Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalNecas 1.73/Dolezal 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dolezal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Necas10
WAug 16 · 02:59M. Necas1.3611111111113M. Novotny3.0068131342WAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:30R. Urban2.001111113M. Necas1.738760LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113WJul 23 · 21:28M. Necas2.251271111133T. Regner1.571011137112LJul 23 · 20:00T. Regner1.6711114113M. Necas2.10681121WJul 23 · 19:00M. Barta3.006960M. Necas1.361111113WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas1.22111116113M. Novotny4.006131481WJul 23 · 17:30M. Tacinec2.00125781M. Necas1.73101111113LJul 23 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.6712119113M. Necas2.101071181
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151
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