TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12442131
Played Aug 16Finished
Miroslav Necas
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11611811131113114
Miroslav Novotny
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMiroslav Necas above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 99 set 5, 11-4
99 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Necas 4–1 Miroslav Novotny Miroslav Novotny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Necas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNecas 1.36 / Novotny 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Necas)+6.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12442131
Necas1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 11 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Novotny3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNecas4wins
AwayNovotny1wins
Necas leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNecas100%3 of 3
AwayNovotnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Necas3Novotny2n = 5Necas took 3 of 5
S2Necas3Novotny2n = 5Necas took 3 of 5
S3Necas4Novotny1n = 5Necas took 4 of 5
S4Necas3Novotny1n = 4Necas took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricNecasNovotnyNecas − NovotnyBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.431.2+7.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNecasNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 41 vs 156 / 33141.5%47.1%17 / 41 vs 156 / 331Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NecasNecas 1.36/Novotny 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.8%
Necas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Necas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas—791191M. Novotny—11118113
WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas—111116113M. Novotny—6131481
WJul 21 · 01:00M. Necas—51111113M. Novotny—118351
WJul 18 · 02:59M. Necas—11113113M. Novotny—691181
WJul 18 · 24:30M. Necas—1111113M. Novotny—7240
M. Necas10
LAug 16 · 01:30M. Necas1.73125951V. Dolezal2.00101111113WAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:30R. Urban2.001111113M. Necas1.738760LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113WJul 23 · 21:28M. Necas2.251271111133T. Regner1.571011137112LJul 23 · 20:00T. Regner1.6711114113M. Necas2.10681121WJul 23 · 19:00M. Barta3.006960M. Necas1.361111113WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas1.22111116113M. Novotny4.006131481WJul 23 · 17:30M. Tacinec2.00125781M. Necas1.73101111113LJul 23 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.6712119113M. Necas2.101071181
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123WAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113LJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas1.22111116113M. Novotny4.006131481
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