TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12282459
Played Jul 23Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117911118––
Miroslav Necas
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Miroslav Necas below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 57.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 3–1 Miroslav Necas Miroslav Necas has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pleskot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Pleskot
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1308 vs Necas 1380
Necas
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 0% vs Necas 60%
Necas
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 30% vs Necas 50%
Necas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot -5 · Necas +2
Pleskot
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pleskot) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Necas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.67 / Necas 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pleskot)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12282459
Pleskot1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 88 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it78% 61 of 78
Necas2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 3 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePleskot3wins
AwayNecas1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPleskot leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot2Necas2n = 4split evenly
S2Pleskot4Necas0n = 4Pleskot took 4 of 4
S3Pleskot2Necas2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPleskotNecasP − NBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.034.2+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotNecasBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 658 vs 15 / 3947.1%38.5%310 / 658 vs 15 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PleskotPleskot 1.67/Necas 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pleskot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 18 · 01:30J. Pleskot—1211113M. Necas—10340
WJul 12 · 07:00J. Pleskot—3131212113M. Necas—1111141042
LJul 9 · 17:00J. Pleskot—71171162M. Necas—119116113
WJul 9 · 15:00J. Pleskot—1111113M. Necas—8590
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110
M. Necas10
WAug 16 · 02:59M. Necas1.3611111111113M. Novotny3.0068131342LAug 16 · 01:30M. Necas1.73125951V. Dolezal2.00101111113WAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:30R. Urban2.001111113M. Necas1.738760LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113WJul 23 · 21:28M. Necas2.251271111133T. Regner1.571011137112LJul 23 · 20:00T. Regner1.6711114113M. Necas2.10681121WJul 23 · 19:00M. Barta3.006960M. Necas1.361111113WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas1.22111116113M. Novotny4.006131481WJul 23 · 17:30M. Tacinec2.00125781M. Necas1.73101111113
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