TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12280541
Played Jul 23Finished
Miroslav Necas
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611131614118––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Necas above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 90 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Necas 4–0 Miroslav Novotny Miroslav Novotny has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:27What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Necas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Necas
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Necas 1407 vs Novotny 1328
Necas
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Necas 60% vs Novotny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Necas 50% vs Novotny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Necas +1 · Novotny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Necas) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNecas 1.22 / Novotny 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Necas)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12280541
Necas1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite39% won 7 of 18
Novotny4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 10 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNecas4wins
AwayNovotny0wins
Necas leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNecas100%3 of 3
AwayNovotnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Necas3Novotny1n = 4Necas took 3 of 4
S2Necas3Novotny1n = 4Necas took 3 of 4
S3Necas3Novotny1n = 4Necas took 3 of 4
S4Necas3Novotny0n = 3Necas took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricNecasNovotnyNecas − NovotnyBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.028.8+10.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNecasNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 42 vs 151 / 32240.5%46.9%17 / 42 vs 151 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NecasNecas 1.22/Novotny 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Necas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Necas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 23 · 18:30M. Necas—111116113M. Novotny—6131481
WJul 21 · 01:00M. Necas—51111113M. Novotny—118351
WJul 18 · 02:59M. Necas—11113113M. Novotny—691181
WJul 18 · 24:30M. Necas—1111113M. Novotny—7240
M. Necas10
WAug 16 · 02:59M. Necas1.3611111111113M. Novotny3.0068131342LAug 16 · 01:30M. Necas1.73125951V. Dolezal2.00101111113WAug 16 · 24:30K. Bartak2.252990M. Necas1.571111113LAug 15 · 23:30R. Urban2.001111113M. Necas1.738760LAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113WJul 23 · 21:28M. Necas2.251271111133T. Regner1.571011137112LJul 23 · 20:00T. Regner1.6711114113M. Necas2.10681121WJul 23 · 19:00M. Barta3.006960M. Necas1.361111113WJul 23 · 17:30M. Tacinec2.00125781M. Necas1.73101111113LJul 23 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.6712119113M. Necas2.101071181
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 16 · 02:59M. Necas1.3611111111113M. Novotny3.0068131342WAug 15 · 22:30M. Necas1.25791191M. Novotny3.7511118113
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