TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12277082
Played Jul 22Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118118––––
Jiri Vrablik
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Jiri Vrablik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 67.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 8–1 Jiri Vrablik Jiri Vrablik has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 2023 vs Vrablik 1778
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 100% vs Vrablik 60%
Wiecek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 100% vs Vrablik 50%
Wiecek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek +5 · Vrablik +1
Wiecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Wiecek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrablik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.44 / Vrablik 2.63
Signal prob.75% / 26%
Edge (Wiecek)+10.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12277082
Wiecek1.44
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 246 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it96% 103 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it83% 175 of 212
Vrablik2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWiecek8wins
AwayVrablik1wins
1 of 9 to a deciderWiecek leads 8–1, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek100%7 of 7
AwayVrablikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek7Vrablik2n = 9Wiecek took 7 of 9
S2Wiecek5Vrablik4n = 9Wiecek took 5 of 9
S3Wiecek8Vrablik1n = 9Wiecek took 8 of 9
S4Wiecek6Vrablik0n = 6Wiecek took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home556%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricWiecekVrablikW − VBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match39.229.4+9.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekVrablikBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1448 vs 25 / 6055.3%41.7%801 / 1448 vs 25 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWiecek 1.44/Vrablik 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 22 · 13:45A. Wiecek—1111113J. Vrablik—5880
WJul 22 · 08:30A. Wiecek—101111113J. Vrablik—128561
WJul 21 · 06:30A. Wiecek—11811113J. Vrablik—811451
WMar 4 · 13:25A. Wiecek—11211113J. Vrablik—811681
WMar 4 · 05:00A. Wiecek—1411113J. Vrablik—12870
WMar 3 · 15:30A. Wiecek—11511113J. Vrablik—411471
LMar 3 · 07:15A. Wiecek—109111172J. Vrablik—121129113
WNov 13 · 11:25A. Wiecek—12118113J. Vrablik—1011131
WNov 13 · 07:40A. Wiecek—1114123J. Vrablik—712100
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
J. Vrablik10
WJul 22 · 12:55J. Braun1.6711118772J. Vrablik2.10351111113LJul 22 · 12:05J. Vrablik4.001051121J. Folwarski1.2212116113WJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik2.1071111113K. Wloczko1.67119451WJul 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.73811671J. Vrablik2.0011811113LJul 22 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.44101111113J. Vrablik2.63128561WJul 22 · 07:20J. Vrablik2.10951111123K. Wloczko1.67111174102WJul 22 · 06:05J. Braun1.67911511102J. Vrablik2.10116118123LJul 22 · 04:55K. Wisniewski2.631111113J. Vrablik1.446890LJul 22 · 03:25K. Glazowski2.381251112113J. Vrablik1.53101171472LJul 21 · 14:15J. Vrablik2.159780G. Poliniewicz1.601111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek1 of 3 neutral
J. Vrablik
Nothing scheduled
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