TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12276698
Played Jul 22Finished
Jiri Vrablik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9115111171141210
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Vrablik above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 55.8%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vrablik 2–1 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wloczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vrablik 1778 vs Wloczko 1741
Vrablik
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrablik 40% vs Wloczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrablik 60% vs Wloczko 30%
Vrablik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrablik +1 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vrablik) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrablik 2.10 / Wloczko 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vrablik)+9.8pp
TT Elite Series · #12276698
Vrablik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 10 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back42% 5 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Wloczko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 254 of 419
Up 2–0, closes it97% 117 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it79% 195 of 247
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVrablik2wins
AwayWloczko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVrablik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVrablikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayWloczko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vrablik0Wloczko3n = 3Wloczko took 3 of 3
S2Vrablik1Wloczko2n = 3Wloczko took 2 of 3
S3Vrablik3Wloczko0n = 3Vrablik took 3 of 3
S4Vrablik2Wloczko1n = 3Vrablik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVrablikWloczkoV − WBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match40.736.7+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrablikWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 60 vs 989 / 187841.7%52.7%25 / 60 vs 989 / 1878Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VrablikVrablik 2.10/Wloczko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vrablik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vrablik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik—71111113K. Wloczko—119451
WJul 22 · 07:20J. Vrablik—951111123K. Wloczko—111174102
LJul 21 · 05:15J. Vrablik—791171K. Wloczko—11115113
J. Vrablik10
LJul 22 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.441111113J. Vrablik2.635880WJul 22 · 12:55J. Braun1.6711118772J. Vrablik2.10351111113LJul 22 · 12:05J. Vrablik4.001051121J. Folwarski1.2212116113WJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik2.1071111113K. Wloczko1.67119451WJul 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.73811671J. Vrablik2.0011811113LJul 22 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.44101111113J. Vrablik2.63128561WJul 22 · 06:05J. Braun1.67911511102J. Vrablik2.10116118123LJul 22 · 04:55K. Wisniewski2.631111113J. Vrablik1.446890LJul 22 · 03:25K. Glazowski2.381251112113J. Vrablik1.53101171472LJul 21 · 14:15J. Vrablik2.159780G. Poliniewicz1.601111113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna1.737970K. Wloczko2.001111113WSep 3 · 05:15A. Dosz1.446960K. Wloczko2.631111113LJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik2.1071111113K. Wloczko1.67119451
Upcoming Matches
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K. Wloczko1 of 3 neutral
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