TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12276746
Played Jul 22Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118611711––
Jiri Vrablik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Jiri Vrablik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 0–1 Jiri Vrablik Krystian Kolodziej has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolodziej
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1782 vs Vrablik 1724
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 80% vs Vrablik 40%
Kolodziej
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 80% vs Vrablik 60%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +2 · Vrablik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolodziej)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.73 / Vrablik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolodziej)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #12276746
Kolodziej1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite76% won 575 of 755
Up 2–0, closes it99% 359 of 364
Up 1–0, closes it88% 473 of 535
Vrablik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKolodziej0wins
AwayVrablik1wins
Vrablik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKolodziejVrablikK − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.042.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejVrablikBasisWin rate · lifetime1324 / 1942 vs 22 / 5568.2%40%1324 / 1942 vs 22 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKolodziej 1.73/Vrablik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vrablik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 21 · 12:35K. Kolodziej—511761J. Vrablik—11911113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480
J. Vrablik10
LJul 22 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.441111113J. Vrablik2.635880WJul 22 · 12:55J. Braun1.6711118772J. Vrablik2.10351111113LJul 22 · 12:05J. Vrablik4.001051121J. Folwarski1.2212116113WJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik2.1071111113K. Wloczko1.67119451LJul 22 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.44101111113J. Vrablik2.63128561WJul 22 · 07:20J. Vrablik2.10951111123K. Wloczko1.67111174102WJul 22 · 06:05J. Braun1.67911511102J. Vrablik2.10116118123LJul 22 · 04:55K. Wisniewski2.631111113J. Vrablik1.446890LJul 22 · 03:25K. Glazowski2.381251112113J. Vrablik1.53101171472LJul 21 · 14:15J. Vrablik2.159780G. Poliniewicz1.601111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej2 of 8 neutral
Sep 7 · 11:40K. Kolodziej3.40P. David1.30—Sep 7 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.00S. Kolasa1.73—Sep 7 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.38J. Zandecki1.53—Sep 8 · 09:00K. Kolodziej—T. Spanik——Sep 8 · 10:25K. Kolodziej—M. Olejnik——Sep 8 · 11:15K. Kolodziej—J. Kosowski——Sep 8 · 13:20K. Kolodziej—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 14:10K. Kolodziej—K. Wloczko——
J. Vrablik
Nothing scheduled
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