TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12276788
Played Jul 22Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118115116––
Jiri Vrablik
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Jiri Vrablik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 67.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 6–1 Jiri Vrablik Jiri Vrablik has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1956 vs Vrablik 1730
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 100% vs Vrablik 40%
Wiecek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 90% vs Vrablik 70%
Wiecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek +5 · Vrablik +2
Wiecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.44 / Vrablik 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Wiecek)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12276788
Wiecek1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 246 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it96% 103 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it83% 175 of 212
Vrablik2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWiecek6wins
AwayVrablik1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderWiecek leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek100%6 of 6
AwayVrablikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek6Vrablik1n = 7Wiecek took 6 of 7
S2Wiecek3Vrablik4n = 7Vrablik took 4 of 7
S3Wiecek6Vrablik1n = 7Wiecek took 6 of 7
S4Wiecek5Vrablik0n = 5Wiecek took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricWiecekVrablikW − VBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match39.630.4+9.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekVrablikBasisWin rate · lifetime800 / 1447 vs 22 / 5455.3%40.7%800 / 1447 vs 22 / 54Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWiecek 1.44/Vrablik 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 21 · 06:30A. Wiecek—11811113J. Vrablik—811451
WMar 4 · 13:25A. Wiecek—11211113J. Vrablik—811681
WMar 4 · 05:00A. Wiecek—1411113J. Vrablik—12870
WMar 3 · 15:30A. Wiecek—11511113J. Vrablik—411471
LMar 3 · 07:15A. Wiecek—109111172J. Vrablik—121129113
WNov 13 · 11:25A. Wiecek—12118113J. Vrablik—1011131
WNov 13 · 07:40A. Wiecek—1114123J. Vrablik—712100
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
J. Vrablik10
LJul 22 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.441111113J. Vrablik2.635880WJul 22 · 12:55J. Braun1.6711118772J. Vrablik2.10351111113LJul 22 · 12:05J. Vrablik4.001051121J. Folwarski1.2212116113WJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik2.1071111113K. Wloczko1.67119451WJul 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.73811671J. Vrablik2.0011811113WJul 22 · 07:20J. Vrablik2.10951111123K. Wloczko1.67111174102WJul 22 · 06:05J. Braun1.67911511102J. Vrablik2.10116118123LJul 22 · 04:55K. Wisniewski2.631111113J. Vrablik1.446890LJul 22 · 03:25K. Glazowski2.381251112113J. Vrablik1.53101171472LJul 21 · 14:15J. Vrablik2.159780G. Poliniewicz1.601111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek1 of 3 neutral
J. Vrablik
Nothing scheduled
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