TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12276418
Played Jul 22Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118119––––
Jiri Vrablik
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Vrablik to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKarol Wisniewski above · Jiri Vrablik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Vrablik at 64.5%
56 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vrablik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1609 vs Vrablik 1732
Vrablik
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Vrablik 60%
Vrablik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 30% vs Vrablik 50%
Vrablik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Vrablik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vrablik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.63 / Vrablik 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Vrablik)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12276418
Wisniewski2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 287 of 726
Down 0–1, comes back19% 86 of 444
Down 0–2, comes back4% 11 of 249
Vrablik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite41% won 12 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiVrablikBasisWin rate · lifetime1063 / 2300 vs 20 / 5146.2%39.2%1063 / 2300 vs 20 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VrablikWisniewski 2.63/Vrablik 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Vrablik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wisniewski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113
J. Vrablik10
LJul 22 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.441111113J. Vrablik2.635880WJul 22 · 12:55J. Braun1.6711118772J. Vrablik2.10351111113LJul 22 · 12:05J. Vrablik4.001051121J. Folwarski1.2212116113WJul 22 · 10:25J. Vrablik2.1071111113K. Wloczko1.67119451WJul 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.73811671J. Vrablik2.0011811113LJul 22 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.44101111113J. Vrablik2.63128561WJul 22 · 07:20J. Vrablik2.10951111123K. Wloczko1.67111174102WJul 22 · 06:05J. Braun1.67911511102J. Vrablik2.10116118123LJul 22 · 03:25K. Glazowski2.381251112113J. Vrablik1.53101171472LJul 21 · 14:15J. Vrablik2.159780G. Poliniewicz1.601111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Wisniewski
J. Vrablik
Nothing scheduled
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