TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12123146
Played Jun 30Finished
Josef Chalupa
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119119––––
Jakub Dufek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJosef Chalupa above · Jakub Dufek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9
62 points played in total.
H2H Josef Chalupa 5–1 Jakub Dufek Jakub Dufek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dufek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.50 / Dufek 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Chalupa)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12123146
Chalupa1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 47 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Dufek2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 16 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back42% 8 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChalupa5wins
AwayDufek1wins
Chalupa leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupa75%3 of 4
AwayDufekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa4Dufek2n = 6Chalupa took 4 of 6
S2Chalupa4Dufek2n = 6Chalupa took 4 of 6
S3Chalupa5Dufek1n = 6Chalupa took 5 of 6
S4Chalupa3Dufek1n = 4Chalupa took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChalupaDufekC − DBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.830.5+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaDufekBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 539 vs 54 / 11558.1%47%313 / 539 vs 54 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.50/Dufek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJun 30 · 18:15J. Chalupa341211113J. Dufek2810990
WApr 14 · 20:13J. Chalupa4212811113J. Dufek321011831
LApr 14 · 17:15J. Chalupa33118951J. Dufek3961111113
WMay 28 · 20:19J. Chalupa4471111153J. Dufek401188131
WMay 28 · 17:15J. Chalupa4181111113J. Dufek29117381
WMay 21 · 17:45J. Chalupa331111113J. Dufek154470
J. Chalupa10
WSep 13 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.36111111123O. Kaderabek3.009135101WSep 13 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3.25511851J. Chalupa1.3311811113LSep 13 · 06:45J. Chalupa1.531131261L. Svoboda2.3891114113WSep 13 · 05:45J. Chalupa1.80611511113D. Gasparovic1.9111611882WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982
J. Dufek10
WJun 30 · 20:13J. Dufek2.2011119113J. Sr1.61791171LJun 30 · 19:45J. Dufek1.83691151S. Rejent1.8311116113LJun 30 · 17:45J. Sr1.6711119113J. Dufek2.10971161LJun 20 · 12:38J. Dufek1.83681191S. Rejent1.8311114113WJun 20 · 11:30S. Rejent1.919590J. Dufek1.801111113LJun 20 · 11:00J. Dufek2.0011681162O. Kaderabek1.73711119113LJun 20 · 10:00J. Dufek1.735960M. Kocvara2.001111113WJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113LJun 13 · 11:30M. Zelinka1.5311111110153J. Dufek2.38138612132LJun 13 · 11:00J. Dufek1.73891161M. Makara2.0011116113
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