TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12071780
Played Jun 20Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511911––––
Jakub Dufek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Jakub Dufek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 7–5 Jakub Dufek Jakub Dufek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dufek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dufek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.91 / Dufek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dufek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12071780
Rejent1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Dufek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 16 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent6wins
AwayDufek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent66.7%4 of 6
AwayDufek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent6Dufek4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rejent5Dufek5n = 10split evenly
S3Rejent7Dufek3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S4Rejent5Dufek3n = 8Rejent took 5 of 8
S5Rejent2Dufek3n = 5Dufek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentDufekR − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.438.6+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentDufekBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 1000 vs 52 / 10748.4%48.6%484 / 1000 vs 52 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DufekRejent 1.91/Dufek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dufek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dufek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 24 · 11:45S. Rejent48711118113J. Dufek4311761182
LMay 18 · 19:45S. Rejent29116841J. Dufek3851111113
WMar 22 · 13:59S. Rejent331111113J. Dufek174670
WMar 22 · 13:00S. Rejent4013511113J. Dufek361111591
LMar 21 · 11:45S. Rejent521114611102J. Dufek541312116123
WFeb 25 · 22:02S. Rejent48117811113J. Dufek4361111692
LFeb 25 · 19:30S. Rejent4311711592J. Dufek47711711113
WFeb 15 · 12:15S. Rejent341111123J. Dufek2485110
WNov 19 · 21:31S. Rejent4391111123J. Dufek301145101
LNov 19 · 19:15S. Rejent5411101111112J. Dufek54131288133
S. Rejent10
WSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:15J. Dolezal2.0041111113S. Rejent1.73117881LSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960LSep 14 · 16:15S. Rejent1.6181112772O. Mezera2.201191011113LSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera2.25118511113S. Rejent1.5761111892WSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182LSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113LSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081
J. Dufek10
WJun 30 · 20:13J. Dufek2.2011119113J. Sr1.61791171LJun 30 · 19:45J. Dufek1.83691151S. Rejent1.8311116113LJun 30 · 18:15J. Chalupa1.501211113J. Dufek2.5010990LJun 30 · 17:45J. Sr1.6711119113J. Dufek2.10971161LJun 20 · 12:38J. Dufek1.83681191S. Rejent1.8311114113LJun 20 · 11:00J. Dufek2.0011681162O. Kaderabek1.73711119113LJun 20 · 10:00J. Dufek1.735960M. Kocvara2.001111113WJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113LJun 13 · 11:30M. Zelinka1.5311111110153J. Dufek2.38138612132LJun 13 · 11:00J. Dufek1.73891161M. Makara2.0011116113
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