TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12128174
Played Jun 30Finished
Jakub Dufek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119911117––
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Dufek above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek 7–9 Jan Krames Sr Jakub Dufek has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dufek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDufek 2.20 / Sr 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sr)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12128174
Dufek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 16 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back42% 8 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Sr1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 109 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 90 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDufek5wins
AwaySr5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDufekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySr50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dufek2Sr8n = 10Sr took 8 of 10
S2Dufek6Sr4n = 10Dufek took 6 of 10
S3Dufek5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S4Dufek5Sr4n = 9Dufek took 5 of 9
S5Dufek3Sr2n = 5Dufek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDufekSrD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.944.5−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDufekSrBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 113 vs 524 / 92346.9%56.8%53 / 113 vs 524 / 923Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.441.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrDufek 2.20/Sr 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dufek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 30 · 17:45J. Dufek33971161J. Sr4211119113
LMay 24 · 10:45J. Dufek46411121272J. Sr551191410113
LMay 9 · 10:00J. Dufek51131311141J. Sr5515159163
WMay 6 · 18:45J. Dufek4111118113J. Sr33851191
LApr 19 · 20:18J. Dufek2899100J. Sr341111123
WApr 19 · 18:15J. Dufek481013113113J. Sr49121181172
WApr 14 · 19:45J. Dufek4291111113J. Sr35118881
WJan 22 · 21:50J. Dufek50811911113J. Sr4411911942
LJan 22 · 19:15J. Dufek4211491172J. Sr51911119113
WJan 17 · 10:15J. Dufek48611119113J. Sr4711991172
J. Dufek10
LJun 30 · 19:45J. Dufek1.83691151S. Rejent1.8311116113LJun 30 · 18:15J. Chalupa1.501211113J. Dufek2.5010990LJun 30 · 17:45J. Sr1.6711119113J. Dufek2.10971161LJun 20 · 12:38J. Dufek1.83681191S. Rejent1.8311114113WJun 20 · 11:30S. Rejent1.919590J. Dufek1.801111113LJun 20 · 11:00J. Dufek2.0011681162O. Kaderabek1.73711119113LJun 20 · 10:00J. Dufek1.735960M. Kocvara2.001111113WJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113LJun 13 · 11:30M. Zelinka1.5311111110153J. Dufek2.38138612132LJun 13 · 11:00J. Dufek1.73891161M. Makara2.0011116113
J. Sr10
WSep 15 · 20:14J. Sr1.611211113J. Dolezal2.2010770LSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:45V. Grubr2.5012131012113J. Sr1.501411121082WSep 15 · 17:15J. Dolezal2.50821441J. Sr1.50111112113LSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131LSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141WSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 12 · 20:15Z. Sedivy1.807960J. Sr1.911111113WJun 30 · 17:45J. Sr1.6711119113J. Dufek2.10971161
Upcoming Matches
J. Dufek
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.