TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12123107
Played Jun 30Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117911116––
Jakub Dufek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Jakub Dufek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 8–7 Jakub Dufek Jakub Dufek has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.67 / Dufek 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sr)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12123107
Sr1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 109 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 90 of 118
Dufek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 16 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back42% 8 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr5wins
AwayDufek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr50%4 of 8
AwayDufekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr8Dufek2n = 10Sr took 8 of 10
S2Sr4Dufek6n = 10Dufek took 6 of 10
S3Sr6Dufek4n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Sr3Dufek5n = 8Dufek took 5 of 8
S5Sr2Dufek3n = 5Dufek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrDufekS − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.742.0+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrDufekBasisWin rate · lifetime522 / 920 vs 53 / 11156.7%47.8%522 / 920 vs 53 / 111Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match41.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.67/Dufek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 24 · 10:45J. Sr551191410113J. Dufek46411121272
WMay 9 · 10:00J. Sr5515159163J. Dufek51131311141
LMay 6 · 18:45J. Sr33851191J. Dufek4111118113
WApr 19 · 20:18J. Sr341111123J. Dufek2899100
LApr 19 · 18:15J. Sr49121181172J. Dufek481013113113
LApr 14 · 19:45J. Sr35118881J. Dufek4291111113
LJan 22 · 21:50J. Sr4411911942J. Dufek50811911113
WJan 22 · 19:15J. Sr51911119113J. Dufek4211491172
LJan 17 · 10:15J. Sr4711991172J. Dufek48611119113
WNov 3 · 20:45J. Sr341111123J. Dufek2477100
J. Sr10
WSep 15 · 20:14J. Sr1.611211113J. Dolezal2.2010770LSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:45V. Grubr2.5012131012113J. Sr1.501411121082WSep 15 · 17:15J. Dolezal2.50821441J. Sr1.50111112113LSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131LSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141WSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 12 · 20:15Z. Sedivy1.807960J. Sr1.911111113LSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061
J. Dufek10
WJun 30 · 20:13J. Dufek2.2011119113J. Sr1.61791171LJun 30 · 19:45J. Dufek1.83691151S. Rejent1.8311116113LJun 30 · 18:15J. Chalupa1.501211113J. Dufek2.5010990LJun 20 · 12:38J. Dufek1.83681191S. Rejent1.8311114113WJun 20 · 11:30S. Rejent1.919590J. Dufek1.801111113LJun 20 · 11:00J. Dufek2.0011681162O. Kaderabek1.73711119113LJun 20 · 10:00J. Dufek1.735960M. Kocvara2.001111113WJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113LJun 13 · 11:30M. Zelinka1.5311111110153J. Dufek2.38138612132LJun 13 · 11:00J. Dufek1.73891161M. Makara2.0011116113
Upcoming Matches
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
J. Dufek
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