TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12030538
Played Jun 13Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111311811610121513
Jakub Dufek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Jakub Dufek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 110 set 5, 15-13
110 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 1–0 Jakub Dufek Jakub Dufek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 1.53 / Dufek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zelinka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12030538
Zelinka1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 68 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it70% 41 of 59
Dufek2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back42% 8 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZelinka1wins
AwayDufek0wins
Zelinka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZelinkaDufekZ − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.039.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaDufekBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 433 vs 51 / 10354.7%49.5%237 / 433 vs 51 / 103Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaZelinka 1.53/Dufek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 21 · 18:15M. Zelinka45111111123J. Dufek398138101
M. Zelinka10
LSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113WSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113LSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151LSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112WSep 10 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.0012116113L. Dobias1.731091191LSep 10 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7311117113M. Zelinka2.00871191WSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113WSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 9 · 12:48M. Zelinka1.6781111113M. Stibor2.10116671WSep 9 · 11:45M. Zelinka2.101111113L. Dobias1.678970
J. Dufek10
WJun 30 · 20:13J. Dufek2.2011119113J. Sr1.61791171LJun 30 · 19:45J. Dufek1.83691151S. Rejent1.8311116113LJun 30 · 18:15J. Chalupa1.501211113J. Dufek2.5010990LJun 30 · 17:45J. Sr1.6711119113J. Dufek2.10971161LJun 20 · 12:38J. Dufek1.83681191S. Rejent1.8311114113WJun 20 · 11:30S. Rejent1.919590J. Dufek1.801111113LJun 20 · 11:00J. Dufek2.0011681162O. Kaderabek1.73711119113LJun 20 · 10:00J. Dufek1.735960M. Kocvara2.001111113WJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113LJun 13 · 11:00J. Dufek1.73891161M. Makara2.0011116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Zelinka
Nothing scheduled
J. Dufek
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