TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12030464
Played Jun 13Finished
Jakub Dufek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911116611––
Michal Makara
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJakub Dufek above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek 5–2 Michal Makara Michal Makara has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dufek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDufek 1.73 / Makara 2.00
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dufek)+5.0pp
Setka Cup · #12030464
Dufek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 16 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Makara2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 186 of 398
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDufek5wins
AwayMakara2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderDufek leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDufek66.7%4 of 6
AwayMakaran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dufek6Makara1n = 7Dufek took 6 of 7
S2Dufek3Makara4n = 7Makara took 4 of 7
S3Dufek4Makara3n = 7Dufek took 4 of 7
S4Dufek3Makara4n = 7Makara took 4 of 7
S5Dufek2Makara1n = 3Dufek took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricDufekMakaraD − MBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match45.442.3+3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDufekMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 103 vs 579 / 119649.5%48.4%51 / 103 vs 579 / 1196Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DufekDufek 1.73/Makara 2.00
Miss
What we said
58.7%
Dufek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 24 · 09:15J. Dufek521111811113M. Makara4448111382
LMay 12 · 19:00J. Dufek351111581M. Makara4491311113
WMay 9 · 10:30J. Dufek3911611113M. Makara30711751
WMar 22 · 12:00J. Dufek44111210113M. Makara369101251
WMar 21 · 13:49J. Dufek4011711113M. Makara32711861
WMar 21 · 10:45J. Dufek581212119143M. Makara541410711122
LFeb 25 · 20:30J. Dufek50117141172M. Makara569111213113
J. Dufek10
WJun 30 · 20:13J. Dufek2.2011119113J. Sr1.61791171LJun 30 · 19:45J. Dufek1.83691151S. Rejent1.8311116113LJun 30 · 18:15J. Chalupa1.501211113J. Dufek2.5010990LJun 30 · 17:45J. Sr1.6711119113J. Dufek2.10971161LJun 20 · 12:38J. Dufek1.83681191S. Rejent1.8311114113WJun 20 · 11:30S. Rejent1.919590J. Dufek1.801111113LJun 20 · 11:00J. Dufek2.0011681162O. Kaderabek1.73711119113LJun 20 · 10:00J. Dufek1.735960M. Kocvara2.001111113WJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113LJun 13 · 11:30M. Zelinka1.5311111110153J. Dufek2.38138612132
M. Makara10
LSep 16 · 08:44M. Makara2.001171112152L. Veigl1.731311710173WSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113WSep 16 · 05:15M. Stibor1.36811111172M. Makara3.00116135113WSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172LSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081LSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182WSep 14 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2069111582M. Makara1.611111813113LSep 13 · 11:45T. Liska2.251611113M. Makara1.5714890LJun 13 · 12:34M. Makara1.7391112842J. Dufek2.001161011113
Upcoming Matches
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