TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131379
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214131110121210118
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 113 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 65.7%
113 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 10–14 Jan Krames Sr Vojtech Grubr has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Sr
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grubr 1629 vs Sr 1750
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grubr 60% vs Sr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grubr 40% vs Sr 60%
Sr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grubr +3 · Sr +1
Grubr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 2.50 / Sr 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sr)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131379
Grubr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Sr1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 115 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it77% 97 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrubr3wins
AwaySr7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySr75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr2Sr8n = 10Sr took 8 of 10
S2Grubr3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S3Grubr7Sr3n = 10Grubr took 7 of 10
S4Grubr2Sr5n = 7Sr took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrubrSrG − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.638.6−6.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrSrBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 467 vs 388 / 69750.3%55.7%235 / 467 vs 388 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrGrubr 2.50/Sr 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 16:18V. Grubr356101181J. Sr4311129113
LAug 25 · 13:45V. Grubr115510J. Sr331111113
LJun 15 · 20:43V. Grubr4411911762J. Sr49911711113
LJun 15 · 19:45V. Grubr227690J. Sr331111113
LMay 21 · 18:15V. Grubr27771121J. Sr4011117113
WMay 11 · 19:45V. Grubr331111113J. Sr257990
WApr 23 · 13:45V. Grubr44561111113J. Sr4211113892
WApr 9 · 20:43V. Grubr3851111113J. Sr33119851
LApr 9 · 17:30V. Grubr3310111021J. Sr4412912113
LMar 23 · 18:15V. Grubr391181191J. Sr4413119113
V. Grubr10
LSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:15J. Dolezal2.2011371192V. Grubr1.61711118113WSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960WSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182WSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791LSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113WSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113LSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100
J. Sr10
WSep 15 · 20:14J. Sr1.611211113J. Dolezal2.2010770LSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980WSep 15 · 17:15J. Dolezal2.50821441J. Sr1.50111112113LSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131LSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141WSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 12 · 20:15Z. Sedivy1.807960J. Sr1.911111113LSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672
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