TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131346
Played Sep 15Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 62.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 48–88 Jan Krames Sr Stepan Rejent has won 48 of their 136 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-88 in 136
Sr
Wrong
gap of 40 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1578 vs Sr 1710
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Sr 40%
Sr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 40% vs Sr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -4 · Sr -1
Rejent
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 2.25 / Sr 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Sr)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13131346
Rejent2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 84 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 65
Sr1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 115 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it77% 97 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent5wins
AwaySr5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent100%3 of 3
AwaySr71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Rejent5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S3Rejent6Sr4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Rejent4Sr4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentSrR − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.5−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentSrBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 776 vs 388 / 69846.7%55.6%362 / 776 vs 388 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrRejent 2.25/Sr 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 16:14S. Rejent3641011111J. Sr4211126133
WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent48101512113J. Sr4312131081
LSep 3 · 13:45S. Rejent205960J. Sr331111113
WAug 25 · 14:15S. Rejent559121111123J. Sr50111487102
WAug 7 · 14:15S. Rejent341111123J. Sr2789100
WAug 5 · 19:45S. Rejent4211119113J. Sr37991181
LAug 2 · 19:15S. Rejent28381161J. Sr4011117113
LJul 29 · 14:45S. Rejent21211261J. Sr4211911113
WJul 22 · 20:44S. Rejent4211128113J. Sr344101191
LJul 22 · 18:15S. Rejent30551191J. Sr3711114113
S. Rejent10
WSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100LSep 15 · 18:15J. Dolezal2.0041111113S. Rejent1.73117881LSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960LSep 14 · 16:15S. Rejent1.6181112772O. Mezera2.201191011113LSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera2.25118511113S. Rejent1.5761111892WSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182LSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113LSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112
J. Sr10
WSep 15 · 20:14J. Sr1.611211113J. Dolezal2.2010770LSep 15 · 18:45V. Grubr2.5012131012113J. Sr1.501411121082WSep 15 · 17:15J. Dolezal2.50821441J. Sr1.50111112113LSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131LSep 13 · 18:15M. Vyskocil2.5014612163J. Sr1.50121110141WSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 12 · 20:15Z. Sedivy1.807960J. Sr1.911111113WSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081
Upcoming Matches
S. Rejent
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
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