TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130129
Played Sep 14Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191210711711
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 19–16 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mezera beat Rejent 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.61 / Mezera 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Rejent)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13130129
Rejent1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 55 of 74
Mezera2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 112 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back33% 47 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back18% 13 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent4wins
AwayMezera6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMezera leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent57.1%4 of 7
AwayMezera100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent7Mezera3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S2Rejent5Mezera5n = 10split evenly
S3Rejent5Mezera5n = 10split evenly
S4Rejent2Mezera5n = 7Mezera took 5 of 7
S5Rejent1Mezera3n = 4Mezera took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentMezeraR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.5+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 773 vs 404 / 81346.8%49.7%362 / 773 vs 404 / 813Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.61/Mezera 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:15S. Rejent4561111892O. Mezera46118511113
LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent4611991162O. Mezera45311119113
WSep 9 · 15:15S. Rejent331111113O. Mezera239770
LSep 8 · 15:15S. Rejent4611911962O. Mezera51911911113
LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent3171590O. Mezera391117113
WSep 7 · 14:15S. Rejent331111113O. Mezera207490
WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent531191111113O. Mezera4191141342
LAug 26 · 16:14S. Rejent411187151O. Mezera4781111173
LAug 26 · 14:15S. Rejent35911871O. Mezera4111811113
WAug 24 · 16:49S. Rejent3611113113O. Mezera32681171
S. Rejent10
LSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera2.25118511113S. Rejent1.5761111892WSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182LSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113LSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112WSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113
O. Mezera10
WSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera2.25118511113S. Rejent1.5761111892LSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113LSep 14 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2069111582M. Makara1.611111813113WSep 13 · 11:15M. Vyskocil1.6151111772O. Mezera2.20117711103LSep 13 · 10:45O. Mezera2.2511147101M. Makara1.5771611123LSep 13 · 09:45O. Mezera3.0071181282T. Liska1.361171110113WSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113LSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113LSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113
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