TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12108656
Played Jun 27Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119411611––
Nazar Petukh
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Nazar Petukh below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 36–28 Nazar Petukh Nazar Petukh has won 28 of their 64 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Neborak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petukh form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 1.67 / Petukh 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Neborak)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12108656
Neborak1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Petukh2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 82 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak7wins
AwayPetukh3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNeborak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak80%4 of 5
AwayPetukh40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak5Petukh5n = 10split evenly
S2Neborak8Petukh2n = 10Neborak took 8 of 10
S3Neborak7Petukh3n = 10Neborak took 7 of 10
S4Neborak2Petukh3n = 5Petukh took 3 of 5
S5Neborak2Petukh1n = 3Neborak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakPetukhN − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.134.3+2.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakPetukhBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 1083 vs 140 / 32739.6%42.8%429 / 1083 vs 140 / 327Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeborakNeborak 1.67/Petukh 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Neborak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petukh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 17:30D. Neborak—1111113N. Petukh—9680
LJun 23 · 12:30D. Neborak—118891N. Petukh—51111113
WJun 22 · 17:30D. Neborak—712114113N. Petukh—111091162
WJun 22 · 12:30D. Neborak—1113113N. Petukh—71190
WJun 20 · 12:50D. Neborak—7121211113N. Petukh—111014982
LJun 17 · 14:00D. Neborak—81211582N. Petukh—1110711113
WJun 16 · 17:30D. Neborak—51111113N. Petukh—115891
WJun 16 · 12:30D. Neborak—1111113N. Petukh—7810
WJun 13 · 10:20D. Neborak—1111113N. Petukh—8790
LJun 12 · 18:50D. Neborak—5880N. Petukh—1111113
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163
N. Petukh10
WJun 27 · 10:49N. Petukh4.0051111113O. Zhurba1.22118671WJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk1.671169101N. Petukh2.1021111123WJun 27 · 05:50A. Tkachenko1.839530N. Petukh1.831111113LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070LJun 23 · 17:30N. Petukh1.919680D. Neborak1.801111113LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113WJun 23 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.83119111272N. Petukh1.839111310113
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