TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12085416
Played Jun 23Finished
Nazar Petukh
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611811––––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingNazar Petukh above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Petukh 27–33 Dmytro Neborak Nazar Petukh has won 27 of their 60 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Neborak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetukh 1.91 / Neborak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Neborak)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12085416
Petukh1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 79 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 77
Neborak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetukh3wins
AwayNeborak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNeborak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetukh60%3 of 5
AwayNeborak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petukh5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S2Petukh3Neborak7n = 10Neborak took 7 of 10
S3Petukh4Neborak6n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S4Petukh1Neborak4n = 5Neborak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetukhNeborakP − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.635.8−2.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetukhNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 320 vs 426 / 107542.8%39.6%137 / 320 vs 426 / 1075Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeborakPetukh 1.91/Neborak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Neborak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 20 · 12:50N. Petukh—111014982D. Neborak—7121211113
WJun 17 · 14:00N. Petukh—1110711113D. Neborak—81211582
LJun 16 · 17:30N. Petukh—115891D. Neborak—51111113
LJun 16 · 12:30N. Petukh—7810D. Neborak—1111113
LJun 13 · 10:20N. Petukh—8790D. Neborak—1111113
WJun 12 · 18:50N. Petukh—1111113D. Neborak—5880
LJun 5 · 16:50N. Petukh—10570D. Neborak—1211113
LJun 3 · 13:30N. Petukh—7121171D. Neborak—11147113
WJun 3 · 12:30N. Petukh—1111113D. Neborak—4970
LJun 2 · 13:00N. Petukh—9115111D. Neborak—11411133
N. Petukh10
WJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113WJun 27 · 10:49N. Petukh4.0051111113O. Zhurba1.22118671WJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk1.671169101N. Petukh2.1021111123WJun 27 · 05:50A. Tkachenko1.839530N. Petukh1.831111113LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113WJun 23 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.83119111272N. Petukh1.839111310113
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113WJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180
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