TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12108445
Played Jun 27Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1126119111012––
Nazar Petukh
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Nazar Petukh below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bondarchuk 9–10 Nazar Petukh Oleksandr Bondarchuk has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 1.67 / Petukh 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12108445
Bondarchuk1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 48 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Petukh2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 82 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarchuk6wins
AwayPetukh4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarchuk75%6 of 8
AwayPetukhn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarchuk8Petukh2n = 10Bondarchuk took 8 of 10
S2Bondarchuk5Petukh5n = 10split evenly
S3Bondarchuk7Petukh3n = 10Bondarchuk took 7 of 10
S4Bondarchuk4Petukh3n = 7Bondarchuk took 4 of 7
S5Bondarchuk1Petukh3n = 4Petukh took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarchukPetukhB − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.434.6+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukPetukhBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 546 vs 142 / 32953.3%43.2%291 / 546 vs 142 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukBondarchuk 1.67/Petukh 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petukh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk—1169101N. Petukh—21111123
WJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk—1112113N. Petukh—31070
LJun 20 · 11:20O. Bondarchuk—11691132N. Petukh—311115113
WJun 13 · 08:50O. Bondarchuk—111211113N. Petukh—814791
LJun 12 · 14:50O. Bondarchuk—61111952N. Petukh—116911113
LJun 5 · 18:50O. Bondarchuk—79111172N. Petukh—111187113
WMay 23 · 09:20O. Bondarchuk—1171312113N. Petukh—511111432
WMay 22 · 15:20O. Bondarchuk—1111113N. Petukh—7450
WMay 15 · 17:50O. Bondarchuk—1111213N. Petukh—66190
WMay 9 · 12:50O. Bondarchuk—11119113N. Petukh—521161
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950
N. Petukh10
WJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113WJun 27 · 10:49N. Petukh4.0051111113O. Zhurba1.22118671WJun 27 · 05:50A. Tkachenko1.839530N. Petukh1.831111113LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070LJun 23 · 17:30N. Petukh1.919680D. Neborak1.801111113LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113WJun 23 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.83119111272N. Petukh1.839111310113
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