Nazar Petukh vs Oleksandr Zhurba 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12111566

Played Jun 27Finished

Nazar Petukh

Home

4.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

511118116117––

Oleksandr Zhurba

Away

1.22

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingNazar Petukh above · Oleksandr Zhurba below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 70 set 4, 11-7

70 points played in total.

H2H Nazar Petukh 11–46 Oleksandr Zhurba Nazar Petukh has won 11 of their 57 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Zhurba)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Petukh form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPetukh 4.00 / Zhurba 1.22

Signal prob.8% / 92%

Edge (Zhurba)+15.8pp

Setka Cup · #12111566

Petukh4.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog37% won 82 of 221

Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127

Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82

Zhurba1.22

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite70% won 229 of 327

Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149

Up 1–0, closes it86% 185 of 216

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePetukh3wins

AwayZhurba7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePetukh50%2 of 4

AwayZhurba83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Petukh4Zhurba6n = 10Zhurba took 6 of 10

S2Petukh3Zhurba7n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10

S3Petukh3Zhurba7n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10

S4Petukh3Zhurba3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricPetukhZhurbaP − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.437.4−6.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPetukhZhurbaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 327 vs 721 / 110942.8%65%140 / 327 vs 721 / 1109Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zhurba

Petukh 4.00/Zhurba 1.22

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

92.4%

Zhurba · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Petukh won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJun 26 · 20:20N. Petukh—6480O. Zhurba—1111113

LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh—8670O. Zhurba—1111113

LJun 23 · 13:00N. Petukh—91101172O. Zhurba—116117113

WJun 22 · 16:30N. Petukh—11911113O. Zhurba—811581

LJun 22 · 13:00N. Petukh—812571O. Zhurba—111011113

LJun 17 · 13:00N. Petukh—119951O. Zhurba—41111113

WJun 16 · 16:30N. Petukh—691212113O. Zhurba—1111101082

LJun 16 · 13:00N. Petukh—119571O. Zhurba—81111113

WJun 12 · 21:20N. Petukh—1111113O. Zhurba—9890

LJun 3 · 17:00N. Petukh—4640O. Zhurba—1111113

N. Petukh10

WJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113 WJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk1.671169101N. Petukh2.1021111123 WJun 27 · 05:50A. Tkachenko1.839530N. Petukh1.831111113 LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480 WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113 LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180 LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070 LJun 23 · 17:30N. Petukh1.919680D. Neborak1.801111113 LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113 WJun 23 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.83119111272N. Petukh1.839111310113

O. Zhurba10

WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380 WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121 LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182 WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680 WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113 WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113 WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113 WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113 WJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480 WJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113

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