TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12107955
Played Jun 27Finished
Alexander Tkachenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511311––––
Nazar Petukh
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAlexander Tkachenko above · Nazar Petukh below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tkachenko 9–11 Nazar Petukh Alexander Tkachenko has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petukh form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.83 / Petukh 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tkachenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12107955
Tkachenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Petukh1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkachenko6wins
AwayPetukh4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkachenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkachenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayPetukh66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko7Petukh3n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S2Tkachenko7Petukh3n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S3Tkachenko4Petukh6n = 10Petukh took 6 of 10
S4Tkachenko2Petukh3n = 5Petukh took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkachenkoPetukhT − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.233.3+2.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoPetukhBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 278 vs 138 / 32548.6%42.5%135 / 278 vs 138 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 1.83/Petukh 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Petukh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 9 · 07:20A. Tkachenko—81211113N. Petukh—1110371
LMay 8 · 17:50A. Tkachenko—11118992N. Petukh—771111113
WApr 25 · 08:50A. Tkachenko—1111113N. Petukh—9840
WApr 24 · 20:20A. Tkachenko—111185113N. Petukh—84111162
LApr 10 · 06:35A. Tkachenko—11870N. Petukh—1311113
WMar 28 · 12:20A. Tkachenko—1111123N. Petukh—88100
LMar 27 · 18:20A. Tkachenko—11480N. Petukh—1311113
LMar 14 · 13:50A. Tkachenko—1111291N. Petukh—91311113
WMar 13 · 20:50A. Tkachenko—1111113N. Petukh—8550
WFeb 21 · 12:20A. Tkachenko—12119123N. Petukh—10511101
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 21 · 16:30A. Tkachenko1.57591111112D. Neborak2.25111159133LAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113LAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133WAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121LAug 8 · 09:20D. Neborak2.251111143A. Tkachenko1.5759120LAug 8 · 08:20A. Tkachenko1.808480I. Hermakivskyi1.911111113WAug 8 · 07:20O. Bondarchuk1.9181140A. Tkachenko1.801113113LAug 8 · 06:20A. Tkachenko1.8071060O. Ivchuk1.911112113WAug 7 · 17:29A. Tkachenko1.831113113O. Bondarchuk1.8381140WAug 7 · 15:30D. Neborak2.25951131A. Tkachenko1.5711119113
N. Petukh10
WJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113WJun 27 · 10:49N. Petukh4.0051111113O. Zhurba1.22118671WJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk1.671169101N. Petukh2.1021111123LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070LJun 23 · 17:30N. Petukh1.919680D. Neborak1.801111113LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113WJun 23 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.83119111272N. Petukh1.839111310113
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