TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12085417
Played Jun 23Finished
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11991111131210711
Nazar Petukh
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Shkurupii above · Nazar Petukh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 104 set 5, 7-11
104 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Shkurupii 25–23 Nazar Petukh Nazar Petukh has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Petukh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShkurupii 1.83 / Petukh 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Petukh)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12085417
Shkurupii1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Petukh1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShkurupii4wins
AwayPetukh6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPetukh leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShkurupii60%3 of 5
AwayPetukh80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shkurupii5Petukh5n = 10split evenly
S2Shkurupii6Petukh4n = 10Shkurupii took 6 of 10
S3Shkurupii4Petukh6n = 10Petukh took 6 of 10
S4Shkurupii2Petukh4n = 6Petukh took 4 of 6
S5Shkurupii1Petukh2n = 3Petukh took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShkurupiiPetukhS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.036.5+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShkurupiiPetukhBasisWin rate · lifetime504 / 1035 vs 136 / 31848.7%42.8%504 / 1035 vs 136 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetukhShkurupii 1.83/Petukh 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Petukh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petukh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 20 · 06:20O. Shkurupii—10980N. Petukh—1211113
WJun 17 · 17:00O. Shkurupii—1111113N. Petukh—9790
WJun 17 · 12:00O. Shkurupii—1011118113N. Petukh—12681192
LJun 16 · 15:30O. Shkurupii—9512121N. Petukh—111110143
LJun 16 · 14:30O. Shkurupii—111191082N. Petukh—431112113
LJun 5 · 17:50O. Shkurupii—1469101N. Petukh—121111123
LJun 3 · 14:30O. Shkurupii—94100N. Petukh—1111123
WJun 3 · 14:30O. Shkurupii—11117113N. Petukh—461191
LJun 2 · 15:30O. Shkurupii—101191162N. Petukh—126115113
WMay 25 · 15:30O. Shkurupii—1111113N. Petukh—6570
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103LAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak2.254111383O. Shkurupii1.571161141
N. Petukh10
WJun 27 · 11:20D. Neborak1.67611461N. Petukh2.1011911113WJun 27 · 10:49N. Petukh4.0051111113O. Zhurba1.22118671WJun 27 · 07:50O. Bondarchuk1.671169101N. Petukh2.1021111123WJun 27 · 05:50A. Tkachenko1.839530N. Petukh1.831111113LJun 26 · 20:20O. Zhurba1.171111113N. Petukh4.506480WJun 26 · 18:50V. Levshyn1.226760N. Petukh4.001111113LJun 26 · 17:20D. Neborak1.731113113N. Petukh2.0071180LJun 26 · 16:20O. Bondarchuk1.731112113N. Petukh2.0031070LJun 23 · 17:30N. Petukh1.919680D. Neborak1.801111113LJun 23 · 16:30N. Petukh4.008670O. Zhurba1.221111113
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