TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12100228
Played Jun 26Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511911911––
Milan Cetner
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Milan Cetner below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 26–18 Milan Cetner Milan Cetner has won 18 of their 44 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cetner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cetner form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 1.91 / Cetner 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Cetner)+4.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12100228
Chalupnicek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 62 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back18% 8 of 45
Cetner1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 154 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it95% 90 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it85% 117 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupnicek6wins
AwayCetner4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupnicek66.7%2 of 3
AwayCetner42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupnicek3Cetner7n = 10Cetner took 7 of 10
S2Chalupnicek5Cetner5n = 10split evenly
S3Chalupnicek5Cetner5n = 10split evenly
S4Chalupnicek5Cetner3n = 8Chalupnicek took 5 of 8
S5Chalupnicek4Cetner2n = 6Chalupnicek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupnicekCetnerChalupnicek − CetnerBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.6−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekCetnerBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 895 vs 596 / 119448.8%49.9%437 / 895 vs 596 / 1194Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CetnerChalupnicek 1.91/Cetner 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Cetner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cetner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 8 · 11:00M. Chalupnicek—11139452M. Cetner—7111111113
LJun 4 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek—74111152M. Cetner—111169113
LJun 3 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek—75150M. Cetner—1111173
WMay 22 · 06:30M. Chalupnicek—811115113M. Cetner—11981182
WMay 19 · 13:00M. Chalupnicek—111179143M. Cetner—741111122
LMay 19 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek—65130M. Cetner—1111153
WMay 1 · 12:30M. Chalupnicek—11211113M. Cetner—711361
WApr 20 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek—81111113M. Cetner—117421
WApr 6 · 09:30M. Chalupnicek—481511113M. Cetner—111113662
WApr 6 · 07:30M. Chalupnicek—813611113M. Cetner—111111992
M. Chalupnicek10
WSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101WSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113WSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
M. Cetner10
LJun 29 · 12:58M. Cetner2.002111181J. Strnad1.7311138113LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 12:30M. Cetner1.73951111113V. Sr2.0011117592LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100WJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113LJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
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