TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12117322
Played Jun 29Finished
Milan Cetner
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115411811911––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMilan Cetner above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Milan Cetner 38–35 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 35 of their 73 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCetner 1.83 / Stefek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12117322
Cetner1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Stefek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCetner5wins
AwayStefek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCetner80%4 of 5
AwayStefek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cetner5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S2Cetner4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S3Cetner2Stefek8n = 10Stefek took 8 of 10
S4Cetner5Stefek3n = 8Cetner took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCetnerStefekC − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.4−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCetnerStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime600 / 1202 vs 534 / 112049.9%47.7%600 / 1202 vs 534 / 1120Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekCetner 1.83/Stefek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner—114891M. Stefek—51111113
WJun 26 · 13:30M. Cetner—11911113M. Stefek—511271
LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner—671191M. Stefek—11116113
LJun 26 · 09:00M. Cetner—169100M. Stefek—1811123
WJun 26 · 08:00M. Cetner—11118113M. Stefek—671191
LJun 23 · 22:30M. Cetner—5540M. Stefek—1111113
WJun 23 · 11:00M. Cetner—11114153M. Stefek—9811131
WJun 21 · 22:00M. Cetner—911911113M. Stefek—11411492
WJun 20 · 12:00M. Cetner—117611113M. Stefek—41111962
LJun 19 · 16:30M. Cetner—1111481M. Stefek—13911113
M. Cetner10
LJun 29 · 12:58M. Cetner2.002111181J. Strnad1.7311138113LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 12:30M. Cetner1.73951111113V. Sr2.0011117592LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113WJun 26 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek1.91125991M. Cetner1.80101111113LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100WJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113LJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113WJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100LJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113
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