TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12121017
Played Jun 29Finished
Milan Cetner
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111113118811––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMilan Cetner above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Milan Cetner 27–35 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Milan Cetner has won 27 of their 62 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCetner 2.00 / Strnad 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Strnad)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12121017
Cetner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 116 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 107
Strnad1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 146 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it95% 71 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it84% 112 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCetner4wins
AwayStrnad6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCetner66.7%2 of 3
AwayStrnad71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cetner3Strnad7n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Cetner6Strnad4n = 10Cetner took 6 of 10
S3Cetner4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Cetner3Strnad4n = 7Strnad took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCetnerStrnadC − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.5−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCetnerStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime600 / 1200 vs 644 / 130950%49.2%600 / 1200 vs 644 / 1309Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadCetner 2.00/Strnad 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 26 · 07:00M. Cetner—14390J. Strnad—1611113
LJun 24 · 24:00M. Cetner—115591J. Strnad—51111113
WJun 23 · 10:00M. Cetner—151112113J. Strnad—1781071
LJun 22 · 02:00M. Cetner—3111361J. Strnad—11515113
WJun 14 · 01:00M. Cetner—1111113J. Strnad—7690
LJun 6 · 23:00M. Cetner—713611102J. Strnad—1111118123
WJun 3 · 11:00M. Cetner—71111133J. Strnad—1185111
LMay 30 · 08:59M. Cetner—51290J. Strnad—1114113
WMay 30 · 07:00M. Cetner—1111129153J. Strnad—481411132
LMay 29 · 13:30M. Cetner—7111181J. Strnad—11134113
M. Cetner10
LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 12:30M. Cetner1.73951111113V. Sr2.0011117592LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113WJun 26 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek1.91125991M. Cetner1.80101111113LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100WJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113LJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
J. Strnad10
WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110WJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.