TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12100309
Played Jun 26Finished
Milan Cetner
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711116911––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMilan Cetner above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Milan Cetner 36–32 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 32 of their 68 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cetner form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCetner 2.00 / Stefek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12100309
Cetner2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 114 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 105
Stefek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 161 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it90% 86 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it73% 116 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCetner7wins
AwayStefek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCetner leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCetner100%6 of 6
AwayStefek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cetner6Stefek4n = 10Cetner took 6 of 10
S2Cetner7Stefek3n = 10Cetner took 7 of 10
S3Cetner3Stefek7n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S4Cetner6Stefek1n = 7Cetner took 6 of 7
S5Cetner2Stefek1n = 3Cetner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCetnerStefekC − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.3+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCetnerStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime596 / 1194 vs 528 / 111249.9%47.5%596 / 1194 vs 528 / 1112Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekCetner 2.00/Stefek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 23 · 22:30M. Cetner—5540M. Stefek—1111113
WJun 23 · 11:00M. Cetner—11114153M. Stefek—9811131
WJun 21 · 22:00M. Cetner—911911113M. Stefek—11411492
WJun 20 · 12:00M. Cetner—117611113M. Stefek—41111962
LJun 19 · 16:30M. Cetner—1111481M. Stefek—13911113
WJun 17 · 13:00M. Cetner—111013113M. Stefek—9121171
LJun 17 · 11:00M. Cetner—81171142M. Stefek—113116113
WJun 17 · 07:00M. Cetner—1111113M. Stefek—6760
WJun 14 · 01:00M. Cetner—1111113M. Stefek—7690
WJun 11 · 07:30M. Cetner—12129113M. Stefek—10101121
M. Cetner10
LJun 29 · 12:58M. Cetner2.002111181J. Strnad1.7311138113LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 12:30M. Cetner1.73951111113V. Sr2.0011117592WJun 26 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek1.91125991M. Cetner1.80101111113LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100WJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113LJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721WJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113LJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100LJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113
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